Benchmark Yield Curve

A benchmark yield curve plots interest rates across different maturity periods, indicating market expectations for economic growth and informing real estate financing and valuation decisions.

Yield Curve ShapeInterpretation
Normal (upward sloping)Longer terms higher rates, healthy economy expected
Inverted (downward sloping)Short rates exceed long rates, recession signal
FlatShort and long rates similar, uncertainty
SteepLarge spread, strong growth expected
HumpedMedium rates highest, transition period
Real Estate ImplicationsImpact
Normal curveFavorable for development financing
Inverted curveCaution, potential downturn ahead
Steep curveLock in long-term fixed rates
Flat curveLittle advantage to long-term debt
UAE contextTracks US Treasury curve closely due to peg
Cap rate relationshipYield curve influences cap rates, discount rates

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